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The Amazon is now a net carbon producer, but there’s still time to reverse the damage | Ane Alencar and Adriane Esquivel Muelbert

The Amazon is now a net carbon producer, but there’s still time to reverse the damage | Ane Alencar and Adriane Esquivel Muelbert

The Amazon acts as a vital organ for our total planet. The largest rainforest in the world, it presents an important aim to both the Earth’s water and carbon cycles. The space, home to abundant and highly diverse species and ecosystems, homes more than 390bn bushes. These have an exceptional capacity to recycle water by pumping it from the soil back up into the atmosphere, but also play a crucial role in storing carbon: the Amazon forest stores an amount of carbon equivalent to two to three times all the CO2 emitted by the UK since 1750. When bushes die, either by natural causes or deforestation, this carbon can return to the atmosphere.

Except a watch published in Nature this month by a staff of Brazilian scientists revealed that the Amazon is now emitting a billion tonnes more carbon dioxide each year than it can absorb, the space was viewed as an important carbon sink for the world. It took the lead scientist Luciana Gatti and her colleagues almost a decade of flying back and forth over the forest, collecting samples to be analysed for carbon dioxide concentration, at distinct altitudes and over diversified areas, from highly deforested to effectively-conserved ones, for scientists to realise that the game had changed: parts of the Amazon forest are now net carbon contributors.

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Climate change, and at least four decades of deforestation and degradation of the Amazon following the installation of main roads that have expanded from south to north and east to west via the basin, have created a situation whereby the Amazon is more open than ever to human destruction. The declining capacity of the forest, notably in its south-east, to uptake one among the main greenhouse gases, has a knock-on manufacture: decreasing the rainforest’s bear resilience to climate change and exponentially increasing the chance of the climate reaching a theorised “tipping point”.

The synergic outcomes between a highly fragmented and degraded forest caused by decades of deforestation, logging and hearth, and more frequent and intense drought occasions caused by climate change, generates the excellent condition for recurrent forest fires. The watch reveals that large swimming pools of carbon are being emitted via such fires, especially in the north-east. This is clearly ugly and extremely stressful, but also surprising is the quantity of carbon emitted by the remaining forest in the south-east. There, several years after the conversion to pasture, the remaining forest is acting differently to the other areas: the recent landscape and climate mean the forest is changing its behaviour, with even standing forests inexplicably emitting carbon. The impacts of returning fires in the rainforest, which is a hearth-sensitive ecosystem, consist of change in forest structure, reduction in carbon stocks, biodiversity and nutrient availability.

To restore the net carbon emissions of the Amazon forest to its balance and avoid other parts of the space’s forest reaching a tipping point where massive mortality further affects resilience, we must always cut back forest loss by deforestation and fires, and put money into massive landscape restoration. Unfortunately, Brazil is taking a diversified route in relation to these major sources of carbon emissions. The nation, which is the sixth largest greenhouse gas emitter in the world, has 44% of its emissions immediately associated with land use change, mainly the conversion of forests to agriculture and pasture fields.

For decades, the so-called Amazon tipping point hypothesis has been predicting that as soon as we reach 20% deforestation of the basin, the gadget would shift from a carbon sink to a carbon source. Now, the longstanding hypothesis has started to be confirmed, as we witness the destruction of great swathes of 1 among the most magnificent forests on Earth, into islands of bushes inside a sea of soy bean plantations and cattle ranches. But this Nature paper indicates that Brazil may be emitting far more than beforehand reported.

The chances of reversing this situation are turning into more distant by the day. There has been no investment in restoration by the federal executive – and the rates of deforestation and fires have been reaching recent heights month after month. This situation has been aggravated since Jair Bolsonaro took over the presidency. Enforcement agencies have been weakened and deauthorised, a jam compounded by a lack of route and assets. Stakeholders together with illegal loggers and miners have had their voices heard by the executive over indigenous peoples and local communities. Ongoing changes in environmental insurance policies, such as allowing mining in indigenous lands, formalising land titles on public lands occupied illegally, and loosening the environmental licensing path of, proceed to incentivise illegal activities, generating more deforestation and hearth.

To change this situation, we must always better implement enforcement to battle and inhibit illegal activities that cause deforestation and environmental crimes in the Amazon; present clear incentives for sustainable use and loyal practices in forestry and agriculture; make stronger indigenous peoples and local communities’ economies; increase transparency and traceability of Amazon merchandise; and engage the private sector and international community in inexperienced financing and other environmental options.

From individuals to large organisations, we must always boycott the merchandise and initiatives that pressure deforestation, and instead eat merchandise and fund initiatives that maintain the forest standing. If both the Brazilian and global societies don’t wake up to the importance of a healthy Amazon to the battle against the pervasive outcomes of climate change in the space, we can all lose out.

  • Ane Alencar is the science director of the Amazon Environmental Research Institute (IPAM), Brazil. Dr Adriane Esquivel Muelbert is a lecturer in global forest ecology at the University of Birmingham and Birmingham Institute of Forest Research (BIFoR)

The Amazon is now a net carbon producer, but there’s still time to reverse the damage | Ane Alencar and Adriane Esquivel Muelbert